What will be the median of the Metaculus prediction for the question "When will the first Artificial General Intelligence system be developed and demonstrated?" on July 1st 2022?
7
Ṁ740Ṁ2.2kresolved Jul 1
100%6%
2030
34%Other
0.0%
2043
0.1%
2042
0.8%
2044
2.0%
2041
0.0%
2038
0.0%
2039
0.0%
2040
0.0%
2037
0.0%
2036
0.0%
2033
0.0%
2032
0.0%
2034
2.0%
2028
0.9%
2027
52%
2029
1.8%
2031
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4815/as-of-july-1st-2022-when-will-top-forecasters-expect-the-first-artificial-general-intelligence-to-be-developed-and-demonstrated/
Acceptable answers: whole year, in the format YYYY, i.e. "2042"
Close date updated to 2022-06-30 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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