Will a GWAS be broadly cited by hereditarians as strong evidence for a > 40% heritability of cognitive ability by 2035?
Standard
0
2035
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently hereditarians tend to cite family-based statistical genetics studies as support of the high heritability of of intelligence whereas opponents cite GWAS that find low heritability.
Resolves yes if leading hereditarian intellectuals (Like Emil Kierkegaard, Cremieux, etc) largely start citing GWAS as support for their arguments, resolves no otherwise.
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