DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (No) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
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@JoshuaWilkes Ah. I may leave this up to the bot in case that messes with it - the metaculus question on whether the DPP won hasn't resolved yet.
@chrisjbillington that's a bit weird - maybe they are waiting until the inauguration but so far as I know there is no reason to do that
@JoshuaWilkes Agreed here, will await resolution of underlying market first. Quick link for future reference: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/14657/2024-taiwan-presidential-election/
It looks like whoever made it (quite reasonably) didn't feel confident they understood the period between the election and inauguration so they just set it to resolve after the latter.
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