
What will be the AGI prediction of Metaculus in March 1st?
4
100Ṁ312resolved Mar 1
100%96%
2030
0.5%
2025
0.5%
2026
0.5%
2027
0.5%
2028
0.7%
2029
0.5%
2031
0.5%
2032 or Later
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ71 | |
2 | Ṁ18 | |
3 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
27% chance
What will be "March 2020" for AGI?
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
71% chance
Will pre-2026 AI out-forecast the Metaculus community?
58% chance
Will AI progress surprise Metaculus?
77% chance
How well will I (@draaglom) forecast on Metaculus in 2025? (Peer accuracy leaderboard)
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
82% chance
In what specific year will we hit AGI?
2033
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2025?
92% chance
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
42% chance