Will there be at least one 8 magnitude (or above) earthquake before 2025 within 200 km of Lima (Peru)?
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150Ṁ1788resolved Jan 1
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Using the epicenter as the location of the earthquake.
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Seismic activity during the year 2024 was much lower than the rest of the 21st century, with only 100 earthquakes exceeding magnitude six, the lowest since 1982.[1] There were also no earthquakes exceeding ≥M8 for the third year in a row.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
resolves no @MaximeRiche
According to historical data, the last earthquakes of large magnitudes (7+) near Lima occurred in 1940, 1974 and 2007. We could say that a notable earthquake is expected every 33 years, so it is unlikely that the next one will occur before 2025 since only 18 years would have passed (a little more than half the average time).
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