Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
Standard
19
Ṁ6212030
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics
(all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@Chocobo Yeah, I added the inflation-adjusted part because I think that makes more sense. If you adjust for inflation for one of the questions, then I think you should do it for both.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months?
43% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2030?
79% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $1000 per year before 2031?
79% chance
Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
89% chance
Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2040?
94% chance
Will 10 million Americans be on semaglutide (or yet-to-be-approved equally good or superior alternatives) by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Will medicare cover semaglutide (or an alternative) in 2030?
85% chance
Will Ozempic / semaglutide be FDA-approved for Alzheimer's before 2030?
64% chance
Will PCSK9 inhibitors cost less than $1000 per year before 2030?
64% chance
Before 2033, will semaglutide be shown to improve lifespan, when prescribed to overweight people?
89% chance