SpaceX Crew-11 is currently scheduled to launch NET July 31, 2025. This question will resolve YES if the launch is delayed or cancelled for any reason outside of NASA purview.

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• Update 2025-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following clarifications on resolution criteria:

  • Weather-related delays: These will resolve YES. The decision on weather acceptability is made by NASA and thus falls within NASA's purview (contrary to being outside of NASA's control).

  • Launch occurring as planned: If the launch proceeds as originally planned by NASA (currently NET July 31, 2025, or the then-current NASA planned date), the market will resolve YES. This clarifies the outcome for the scenario where the launch is not delayed or cancelled.

  • Hardware issues (e.g., rocket issues attributable to SpaceX): These will resolve NO, as they are considered outside NASA purview.