Will the Time Person of the Year market make Manifold look really smart, or hopelessly delusional?
38
850Ṁ1447resolved Dec 6
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%56%
Really Smart
44%
Hopelessly Delusional
Resolves "really smart" if the actual person of the year was trading at 4% or higher prior to it becoming public, "hopelessly delusional" otherwise, except that "other" must be trading over 50% to resolve "really smart." Based on this comment by @BTE
https://manifold.markets/Joshua/who-will-be-time-person-of-the-year#88F6wM3JNsH9aUhWPFjw
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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