Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?
27
1kṀ39102027
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Trifecta" here means "Republicans win the House, Senate, and Presidency". If they do not win a trifecta I will cancel the market. Otherwise I will resolve based on the non conditional version of this market.
The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using abortion pills inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?
20% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
9% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a near total abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
2% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
20% chance
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 15 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
17% chance
If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
Will a National Abortion Ban Be Enacted in the US Before 2026?
5% chance
If Trump is elected will the Comstock laws be used to ban the shipping of abortion pills by the end of 2026
53% chance
If Biden is elected will the Comstock laws be used to ban the shipping of abortion pills by the end of 2026
12% chance
Will the Comstock Act be used against the shipping of abortion pills nationally before 2028?
47% chance