Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of December 2026?
27
1kṀ3910
2027
8%
chance

"Trifecta" here means "Republicans win the House, Senate, and Presidency". If they do not win a trifecta I will cancel the market. Otherwise I will resolve based on the non conditional version of this market.

The spirit of this question is "will the US make getting/giving/using abortion pills inevitably involve a federal felony", so it will resolve YES even if e.g. distributing (but not prescribing) becomes a felony.

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