Resolves yes if multiple credible western news-sources report more than 10,000 being present at the protest.
The question resolves true if ten thousand or more protest in a single city concurrently. one thousand people protesting the same topic in ten different cities will not resolve the question true.
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@MathiasBonde it looks like the close date here should be Dec 31 2023 (it's currently Dec 31 2024)
The 1989 protest was referred to as protests. It was also not merely Beijing, but throughout the nation. I think we use the word protest loosely in English, generally including the latter case.
@old_chicken Good question. When I posed the question I had a one-time gathering in mind, but I failed to convey that in the description.
The question resolves true if ten thousand or more protest in a single city concurrently. one thousand people protesting the same topic in ten different cities will not resolve the question true.
I have updated the description of this and the 100k sister market to reflect this 🙂
@Paul I haven't been able to find other sources claiming this than FT, if others come out do share them!
If you're interested in this question, consider participating in the 100,000 people market as well:
https://manifold.markets/MathiasBonde/will-a-protest-in-china-exceed-1000-3231b7c14b58?referrer=MathiasBonde
Important for world events
