Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2024
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set closer to midnight by the end of January 2024 than the end of January 2023.

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@ManualBlinking They seem to be focusing on nuclear and climate doom. I'm not sure we have enough time to kill ourselves with global warming before we kill ourselves with something else.
"closer to midnight by the end of January 2024 than January 2023" would the end of January 2023 count, or do you mean the creation date of the market?
Duplicated from the 2023 market: https://manifold.markets/derikk/will-the-doomsday-clock-advance-tow?r=TWFydGluUmFuZGFsbA


















