Will Joe Biden WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
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1.6kṀ120kresolved Jul 21
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This market resolves YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the presidential election.
This market resolves NO if Joe Biden does not win the nomination or is nominated and goes on to lose the presidential election.

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I have a crack team of ninjas who ensure that I never have to unresolve a market.
@chrisjbillington personally I prefer non-conditional markets, so
/MartinRandall/trump-vs-biden-2024
but you need to do math to pull the conditional probability out.