Will Joe Biden WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
107
699
1.6K
2025
49%
chance

This market resolves YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the presidential election.

This market resolves NO if Joe Biden does not win the nomination or is nominated and goes on to lose the presidential election.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

Market on what would happen if he doesn't, which is an interesting question but doesn't have enough traders to know how accurately it's priced:

predicts NO

@chrisjbillington personally I prefer non-conditional markets, so

/MartinRandall/trump-vs-biden-2024

but you need to do math to pull the conditional probability out.

More related questions