Will Joe Biden WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionPoliticsJoe BidenBest Dem Pres Cand
Basic
127
αΉ€117k
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if Joe Biden wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the presidential election.

This market resolves NO if Joe Biden does not win the nomination or is nominated and goes on to lose the presidential election.

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Arguably premature since the convention hasn't happened yet. (I know the chances are like sub-1% at this point, but still.... technically still a chance) xD

I have a crack team of ninjas who ensure that I never have to unresolve a market.

Market on what would happen if he doesn't, which is an interesting question but doesn't have enough traders to know how accurately it's priced:

predicted NO

@chrisjbillington personally I prefer non-conditional markets, so

/MartinRandall/trump-vs-biden-2024

but you need to do math to pull the conditional probability out.

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