Best Dem Pres Cand
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This group is a set of markets to find the best Democratic presidential candidate. Each candidate gets a pair of markets of the form:
Will <NAME> WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
Will <NAME> LOSE the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats?
A WIN market resolves YES if <NAME> wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the general election. A LOSE market is the same but requires the nominee to lose the presidential election. Each market resolves NO if the candidate is not nominated or gets the opposite result.
The ratio between the WIN and LOSE markets indicates how likely a candidate is to win if nominated. The sum of the WIN and LOSE markets indicates how likely a candidate is to be nominated.
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