Resolves to MKT (market probability) at a time determined as follows:

• After 2022-09-18, once there is a 24 hour period, during which MKT does not change (to the nearest whole percent), then the market will resolve to MKT as of that period. If you see such a gap before me, please comment with the details to assist me in resolving the market accurately.

• After 2022-09-22, this will be supplemented by a random (Poisson) process of some kind, to be determined.

This is an experimental market for @dreev. I will bet in this market and may bet in any direction.

Edit history:

Sep 8, 8:47am: adding detail on extending close date based on lack of quiescence.

Sep 18, 9:56am: changed quiescence criteria to be less vulnerable to creator effects.

Close date updated to 2022-09-22 11:00 pm

Close date updated to 2022-10-22 11:00 pm

Close date updated to 2022-10-22 6:00 pm

Close date updated to 2022-10-22 5:00 pm

Close date updated to 2022-09-24 5:10 pm