Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
10
100Ṁ232
2026
65%
chance
18
  • US elections only.

  • Any primary OR general election at the state, congressional, or local level is fit to resolve this.

  • Ballot initiatives count.

  • Both candidates have to publicly support somebody in a race. Races where one backs someone but the other backs no one won't be enough for a YES.

  • "Publicly support" means some level of tangible, actual support: something like an endorsement, campaign funding, things of this nature. It has to rise to the level of actually supporting the campaign. Something like liking or retweeting a post by a candidate or expressing simple agreement, for example, aren't enough for a resolution. It has to be actual substantive backing.

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