Feel free to add your own, but egregiously irrelevant answers will be N/Aed. Try to keep it to things that can be connected to this event! I'll avoid betting in this market on anything where there could be ambiguity.
Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Another political assassination (either side)": There must be some proven link - inspiration, direct influence, etc - between the Kirk assassination and anything that would give this a YES resolution.
Update 2025-09-16 (PST) (Creator summary of creator comment): - For the answer "Any left-wing group is legally designated as a 'terrorist organization'": A state or local designation doesn't count for this - it has to be federal (even if it's unconstitutional or otherwise goes through the improper channels, such as an executive order).
People are also trading
two events of this nature have been foiled by authorities’ intervention
#2: https://people.com/charlie-kirk-martyr-allegedly-threatens-shoot-up-gay-bar-11813937
either would have resolved YES if successful, right?
@Dulaman Do we think this resolves YES? The latest episode doesn't seem to directly reference the assassination, but it DOES directly reference the post-assassination FCC/Kimmel fallout
@Marnix will it resolve YES when Trump signs this?
https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-resolution/391
@MachiNi Bit of a dilemma here: that's a senate resolution. Those aren't laws, don't go to the other house, and don't get signed by the president
@MindBenderMads in hindsight i probably should've made the resolution date a couple of months instead of a year
@Marnix this one’s easy, it resolves YES because it did end at least once
then, a separate “Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated” and “Jimmy Kimmel stays off the air until market close” question could trade as usual
@LiamRutherford man how tf has it already been two weeks? it simultaneously feels like it's only been a few days and like it's been a month
Looks like Sinclair's refusing to air it for the time being. https://www.nbcnews.com/business/media/jimmy-kimmel-abc-return-tuesday-rcna232335
@BenM can we resolve this after this right wing activist canceled his thing?
https://www.axios.com/2025/09/11/charlie-kirk-hbcu-threats-ben-shapiro
@MindBenderMads this is about cancellation by school admin; it looks like that article (as far as I can tell before the paywall) is about self cancellation?
@MindBenderMads https://archive.is/dpO6R I think @jcb is right. This appears to be 1 self cancellation and one by the Reagan Library, not a college.
@MindBenderMads ah, some sites don't show the paywall if you came from a search result, but do if you arrived from a link elsewhere 🙄

So we have right wing activists, university campus but we don’t have an admin?? Or what might seem to be the issue