Will Nikki Haley get [33, 36, 39] or more points in the Republican New Hampshire primary? [Each resolves individually]
Will Nikki Haley get [33, 36, 39] or more points in the Republican New Hampshire primary? [Each resolves individually]
16
675Ṁ6181resolved Jan 24
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YES33 or more
Resolved
YES36 or more
Resolved
YES39 or more
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ181 | |
| 2 | Ṁ109 | |
| 3 | Ṁ100 | |
| 4 | Ṁ92 | |
| 5 | Ṁ48 |
Sort by:
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
Will Elon Musk be given a Cabinet position by the end of June 2025?
2% chance
Will Trump administration recommend removing fluoride from water by July 2025?
6% chance
World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027
Which NYC boroughs will Andrew Cuomo win?
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
96% chance
Will Trump tweet about Zohran Mamdani in June?
7% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?
3% chance
U.S. Congress approves funding for Manhattan Project-style AI initiative by June 30, 2025
1% chance
Will Kamala Harris announce she's running for governor of California before July 1, 2025?
5% chance