What will Nikki Haley’s vote share be in the 2024 Republican New Hampshire primary?

885Ṁ9190

resolved Jan 24

100%99.7%

42-44.9

0.0%

Below 27 points

0.0%

27-29.9

0.0%

30-32.9

0.0%

33-35.9

0.1%

36-38.9

0.1%

39-41.9

0.1%

45-47.9

0.0%

48 points or above

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Market modeled under the logistic function (more accurate, less market slippage when trying to predict a certain vote share):

Multiple resolution version here for your arbitrage:

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