Will my Manifold portfolio be net-positive for 6 or more months of 2023?
8
49
170
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
YES

Dec 13, 1:36am: Will I turn a profit on Manifold for 6 or more months of 2023? → Will my Manifold portfolio be net-positive for 6 or more months of 2023?

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Looks like it hit ~ 290 all time profit in early April 2023 and has been above that since. Resolves Yes.

What does this actually mean? Your profit is obviously not going to monotonically increase for that length of time.

predicted YES

@IsaacKing You're right. I reframed it, does this make more sense?

@Socrates So there must be some 6 month period within 2023 where your profit at the end of the period is higher than it was at the beginning of that period?