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Q3 had 5% GDP growth. This can’t resolve YES anymore I suppose. Can it?

@NicoDelon It's ambiguous because the market creator did not specify if 2 consecutive qtrs is before or after revisions. However at this point the chance of there having been a recession even in revised terms is far less than 6% imo

@Cactus Market creator also did not specify if Q4 2023 and Q1 2024 counts

@Cactus @MarcusAbramovitch ?

@NicoDelon sorry guys, this got lost in the comments. I'm going to look at things

Ok, Q3 2022 through to Q3 2023 all had positive growth. So even if Q4 is down, this resolves No

@MarcusAbramovitch do both quarters need to be in 2023 for this to resolve true? Or would Q4 of 2023 and Q1 of 2024 count, considering the recession to have started at the end of 2023?

Many see this through a political lens but fundementals (inflation, employment, energy prices) are improving, Europe isn’t facing an energy crunch because of an unprecedented winter heat wave, and Chinese manufacturing is coming back to life.

This needs clarification. Do you mean in the US or worldwide?

@JimAusman US. I will make another question for worldwide.

Is this for any country or for world GDP as a whole?

@FionFion or literally "any" country?

@MichaelRucker US. I will make another question for worldwide