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MANIFOLD
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before 1 January 2030
17
Ṁ100Ṁ550
2029
13%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Elon Musk is assassinated before January 1, 2030. For resolution purposes, assassination is defined as the deliberate, premeditated killing of Musk by another person. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from law enforcement, medical examiners, or credible news sources documenting that Musk's death resulted from an assassination attempt. Deaths from natural causes, accidents, or other non-assassination-related circumstances resolve NO.

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