MANIFOLD
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before 1 January 2030
4
Ṁ100Ṁ120
2029
11%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Elon Musk is assassinated before January 1, 2030. For resolution purposes, assassination is defined as the deliberate, premeditated killing of Musk by another person. Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from law enforcement, medical examiners, or credible news sources documenting that Musk's death resulted from an assassination attempt. Deaths from natural causes, accidents, or other non-assassination-related circumstances resolve NO.

Market context
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