Will spaceX catch the booster with the mechazilla arms in Flight 5?
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Ṁ13kresolved Oct 13
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%55%
Attempt and succeed 100%
2%
Not attempt
24%
Attempt but fail or abort
19%
Attempt and partial success (Spacex acknowledges that booster or arm is damaged significantly)
Partial success is if booster returns to launch pad, but booster or arm damage is announced by spacex
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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When is the cutoff between "not attempt" and "attempt but abort"? Like, if they say at the beginning of the launch they will attempt, but at the start of the boostback burn they decide there are too many issues to attempt and they never bring the booster near the landing site, is that an attempt or not?
It should be considered an attempt if the booster returns with intent to land, but veers off into the ocean.
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