Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
0
αΉ10k2028
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact governs how its member states appoint their presidential electors for the November 7, 2028 election: its members together hold at least 270 electoral votes and the compact is in effect for that election under its own terms. NO otherwise, including if a court stops it from applying before electors are appointed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?
59% chance
How much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
42% chance
When will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the needed 270 votes?
[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
52% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
52% chance
Will I vote in the 2028 US election?
67% chance
Will at least one state that enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact withdraw from it by EOY 2035?
44% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach it's quorum before 2035?
60% chance
Will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election win the 2032 US Presidential Election?
36% chance
Who will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?