Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach it's quorum before 2035?
Plus
18
Ṁ6512035
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the quorum is reached and then a state withdraws this will resolve positive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
26% chance
Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the threshold for activation by the 2028 election? [Res. PROB]
19% chance
[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
16% chance
Will at least one state that enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact withdraw from it by EOY 2035?
52% chance
When will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach the needed 270 votes?
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
41% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2032?
52% chance
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
30% chance