Which party will win the US Presidency in New Hampshire?
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Ṁ8.7kṀ1.3k
2025
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86%
Democratic Party
14%
Republican Party
0.1%
Resolves after the AP calls the race.
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My justification for not holding Democrat.
New Hampshire has a greater tendency to buck national incumbents than most other states. The incumbent party’s margin decreased (from the previous election) in every election since 2000, or 10 of the last 12 presidential elections.
NH is about 40% independent voters, so a sufficiently unpopular administration could cause a several point shift away from that party or even cause a flip.
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