Will Joe Biden endorse Kamala Harris for the Democratic Party Presidential Nomination before the end of July?
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resolved Jul 21
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if Joe Biden endorses Kamala Harris to be the nominee instead of himself before the end of July 2024 in Pacific Time. Otherwise resolves NO on August 1st.

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If he does, will she win?

Seems pretty correlated with "will Biden drop out by end of July" market.
https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec

Small arb opportunity perhaps if these diverge.

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