If Harris is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
84
1kṀ6999resolved Nov 6
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Kamala Harris does not win the 2024 presidential election or there is a peace treaty signed concluding the Russia-Ukraine war before the election this market will resolve to N/A. If Harris does win the 2024 presidential election:
This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war that consists of a 30 day period where the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's daily updates report that less than 100 Russian soldiers have been killed in combat.
This market will resolve to NO otherwise.
Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
51% chance
Will Kamala Harris visit Ukraine by the end of 2025?
1% chance
If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?
Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)
19% chance
Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
83% chance
If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
55% chance