If Harris is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
84
1kṀ6999resolved Nov 6
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Kamala Harris does not win the 2024 presidential election or there is a peace treaty signed concluding the Russia-Ukraine war before the election this market will resolve to N/A. If Harris does win the 2024 presidential election:
This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war that consists of a 30 day period where the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's daily updates report that less than 100 Russian soldiers have been killed in combat.
This market will resolve to NO otherwise.
Update: We may close this market temporarily around election day to prevent manipulation.
Related:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If the U.S. stops sending military assistance to Ukraine, will there be a ceasefire by the end of 2025?
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
55% chance
Will there be a presidential election in Ukraine, before a ceasefire between it and Russia occurs? (See description)
19% chance
Will Kamala Harris visit Ukraine by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
83% chance
If Trump Wins, will the USA pass more Ukraine aid at least once before the 2026 midterm elections?
56% chance