If a Democrat wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
Plus
12
แน13672027
1%
Banned in all cases
3%
Banned with exceptions
3%
Banned after 6 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
5%
Banned after 15 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
8%
Banned after 20 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
9%
Banned after 24 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
93%
None of the above
If a Democrat does not win, this question will be resolved N/A
Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows:
"Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES.
If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES
If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously)
"exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Joe Biden wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Trump is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Will a Democrat win the US 2024 presidential election?
50% chance
If Biden is elected President in 2024, how many states will have restricted abortion a year later?
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
52% chance
Will Missouri legalize abortion in the 2024 election?
77% chance
Will abortion be restricted in Argentina in 2024?
20% chance
How many states in the United States will have statewide abortion referendum on the ballot in 2024?