Can Democrats keep the Senate if Joe Biden loses?
46
360
Ṁ3.4KṀ3.3K
Nov 11
1D
1W
1M
ALL
55%
If Biden beats Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race
15%
If Biden loses to Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race
60%
If Biden beats Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race
17%
If Biden loses to Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race
Control of the senate may come down to whether Democratic senators Tester and Brown can hold their senate seats.
This is an unlinked market of conditional statements, to measure the odds of these candidates winning their races depending on if Biden does or does not win the presidency. Options will resolve N/A if the base condition is not met.
Note: Presumptive candidates are listed in this market, but if the actual nominees turn out to be someone different they will be used instead. For example, If Kamala Harris is the nominee she will be edited in to all options instead of Biden.
For more information and arbitrage, you can also check out the Key Races dashboard.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
More related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024, then regain it in 2026?
26% chance
Will any Senate seat flip from Republican to Democratic in the 2024 elections?
19% chance
Will Joe Biden lose a single state in the 2024 Democratic primaries?
9% chance
Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Senate in 2024?
5% chance
Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote?
83% chance
Will Joe Biden win the election?
47% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans control the Senate after 2024?
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in West Virginia?
4% chance
Will a Democratic Senator call for Biden to drop out of the 2024 Presidential race?
7% chance