Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before 2024?
27%
chance
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itsTomekK avatar
Tomek K 🟡
is predicting YES at 20%
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Arrrrrrr 🤖Bot
bought Ṁ82 of YES

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3IC avatar

"Steps down" makes it sound voluntarily, or does "forced-out" count also? His huge ego will never decide to "step-down", but I could see someone making a move to "force" him out. Especially if he keeps spending so much time focused on Twitter.

citrinitas avatar
Anton
bought Ṁ30 of NO

Is this so high because people are mixing up twitter and tesla?
Would correct more but I'm way overexposed as it is

Cutie avatar
dggL
bought Ṁ100 of NO

@citrinitas yeah there is not this high of a likely hood he steps down from tesla

PeterWildeford avatar
Peter Wildeford
bought Ṁ100 of YES
citrinitas avatar
Anton
is predicting NO at 70%

@PeterWildeford Thanks for the donation I guess

PeterWildeford avatar
Peter Wildeford
is predicting NO at 70%

@citrinitas Happy to help

L avatar
L
bought Ṁ10 of YES

@Cutie I'll take that bet

Cutie avatar
dggL
bought Ṁ50 of NO

@L be my guest

PeterWildeford avatar
Peter Wildeford
bought Ṁ100 of NO

Despite being a total idiot who can't read I still think I'm going to profit here

Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought Ṁ200 of YES
Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought Ṁ100 of YES

@Conflux oops I misread the market title to be Twitter lol

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Tassilo avatar
Tassilo Neubauer
bought Ṁ15 of YES

Arbitrage for the win? https://manifold.markets/kolotom99/will-elon-musk-be-teslas-ceo-throug

Am I missing something?

a avatar
arae
bought Ṁ275 of YES

@Tassilo Done!

nottelling2ccc avatar

@Tassilo To me, “step down” implies that he voluntarily resigns as CEO. It’s possible that he’ll go out kicking and screaming, in which case I’d argue that both these markets should resolve to NO (but I don’t know if that’s likely.)

a avatar
arae
sold Ṁ239 of YES

@nottelling2ccc You're right

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