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Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

10% chance

Will Manifold remove limit orders for any length of time before 2027?

14% chance

Will there be more than 200k open limit orders on Manifold by EOY 2024?

21% chance

Will Manifold support SELL orders with limits by market close?

21% chance

If Manifold adds the ability to place stop orders, will the people who asked for them regret it within a month?

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predictedNO

Can you resolve this?

predictedYES

@ahalekelly Thanks for the reminder, done!

Modulo, July is somewhat soon? But I think a month is pretty safe, IMO limit orders in the CLOB world would only take a 4-days-ish. V3 might take 8 days?

Now that we've figured out https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-manifold-implement-uniswap-v3 is the right way to go, I think that will allow us to do limit orders correctly. Even in the 20% case we don't do Uv3, we're still pretty interested in allowing our large traders to provide liquidity via centralized limit order book.

I feel like limit orders are too complicated right now and not even so valuable to me as a user. I just want to see whenever the market deviates from my true probability. And when that happens I want to review/reassess -- I don't really want that automated. Get people to keep coming back and reengaging and fighting over the price. It's fun and naturally adds liquidity. But also a simple way to add liquidity / subsidize a market would be amazing. Support the use case of "gosh, I have no idea what the right probability is but I'm happy to contribute to finding out!"