If there is a significant strike of truckers not delivering to NYC to stand with Trump by March 1, 12:00 AM EST, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to no.
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@Snarflak No idea! I understand that this question has inherently vague and subjective wording. I'll do my best to try and resolve it in a fair manner. But if there are news articles about supply chain disruptions or delays etc. arising from the strike, that will definitely be enough to make it resolve to yes. If not, it will probably resolve to no.
@Snarflak Because some people think the risks involved with a vague word like "significant" are low enough for it to be worth it to bet on this market. If you don't, there are plenty of more precise markets to bet on.
@Mana I didn't see any precise ones, which is why I'm here. :D I want something like "Will the trucker strike have at least x impact on y", etc.
@Snarflak Ah, yeah there's not any for the trucker strike in particular, good point. If you make one, I'll bet on it.