Will an algorithm be able to write a full-length book indistinguisable from a human author before September 2024?
47
1kṀ6448resolved Sep 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there exists an algorithm that can write such a book, then this questions resolves to yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ144 | |
| 2 | Ṁ98 | |
| 3 | Ṁ50 | |
| 4 | Ṁ34 | |
| 5 | Ṁ22 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
76% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
41% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
11% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
59% chance
On Dec 31, 2025, will a widely available AI model be able to write a sophisticated 2000 line program?
70% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
65% chance
Will there be a blockbuster movie in the US before the end of 2025 that is acknowledged as written by AI
10% chance
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
64% chance
Will a completely AI-written novel win a Hugo Award by 2035?
15% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
14% chance