EU triggers anti-coercion instrument against US before 2026?
2
100Ṁ35Dec 31
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the EU has triggered the anti-coercion instrument against the US before January 1st 2026. Acceptable evidence includes official EU announcements, credible news sources, or other clear documentation indicating that the EU invoked this instrument specifically against the United States. If the action is not clearly and publicly confirmed by January 1st 2026, this market resolves as NO. If conflicting evidence or ambiguity arises, resolution will be based on the best available official sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
89% chance
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
80% chance
Will any EU country or NATO stop sharing intelligence with the United States by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. in 2025
94% chance
Mutual defence clause of NATO triggered before 2026
4% chance
Will any EU country or NATO stop sharing intelligence with the United States by the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will any US state announce a similar version of the EU AI act by June 2024?
8% chance
Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?
41% chance
Will the US implement some form of capital control by 2029?
16% chance
Will European investors face restrictions on their US stock holdings due to political risks before 2029?
15% chance