Will Twitter suffer a major outage during 2022?
643
643
4K
resolved Dec 29
Resolved
YES

If there's more than 1h of a major outage, I'll solve this market to YES. I'll use my judgment.

I won't bet.

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dume85 avatar
dume85predicted YES

how the fuck did i lose money on this i bet yes when this shit was at like 9%

EdwardKmett avatar
Edward Kmettpredicted YES

@dume85 Funny thing about outages is they tend to strike without warning.

Eugger avatar
Euggerpredicted NO

@dume85 Was that the only bet you made? Your profit shows the your net gain/loss for all bets combined.

dume85 avatar
dume85predicted YES

@Eugger ya i'm just r-worded

BetsByAnon avatar
Bets By Anonpredicted NO

It was so close.

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingpredicted NO

This is incorrectly resolved.

NcyRocks avatar
N.C. Youngpredicted YES

@Gigacasting Are you serious? Your picture literally says "Twitter Inc suffered a major outage"

Eugger avatar
Euggerpredicted NO

@Gigacasting How? Wasn't it out for more than an hour?

MP avatar
MP
MP avatar
MP

New York Times - https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/28/technology/twitter-outages.html

At 9:08 ET the NYT reported "widespread outages". There's no media more mainstream than the NYT.

MP avatar
MP

@Chaos that's how the media report a major outage

LiteChaos avatar
LiteChaospredicted YES

@MP Gotcha. Thanks for managing this market!

MP avatar
MP

Are we sure it passes the 1 hour test?

finnhambly avatar
Finn Hamblypredicted YES

Yes, it's still going on now:

NoahKreutter avatar
Noah Kreutter

This should be resolved

finnhambly avatar
Finn Hamblysold Ṁ904 of YES

Front page of the Guardian:

Article link, and a small excerpt:

The London-based internet monitor NetBlocks said “Twitter is experiencing international outages affecting the mobile app and features including notifications”.

“The incident is not related to country-level internet disruptions or filtering.”

JakeFromHackmud avatar
Jake From Hackmudbought Ṁ15 of YES

Surely this will resolve now? I refreshed Twitter and am stuck in a login loop now. Not just me either.

EdwardKmett avatar
Edward Kmettsold Ṁ4 of NO

@JakeFromHackmud Same for the last hour or two.

JakeFromHackmud avatar
Jake From Hackmudpredicted YES

@EdwardKmett Hah. Wish I stuck with my original bet and bought more. ty.

JakeFromHackmud avatar
Jake From Hackmudbought Ṁ10 of YES

@JakeFromHackmud Appears the issues have started again. I don't see a way this doesn't resolve at this point.

MattReardon avatar
Matt Reardonbought Ṁ500 of YES

It's up to @MP now, but I'm betting on 1,500+ Down detector reports: https://downdetector.com/status/twitter/

MattReardon avatar
Matt Reardonpredicted YES

@MattReardon at 7:02 EST and continuing past 8:30