Will these tech figures previously presumed liberals declare support for President Trump by election day?
➕
Plus
39
Ṁ8400
Nov 5
9%
Marc Benioff
5%
Jack Dorsey
5%
Sergey Brin
4%
Jensen Huang
4%
Jeff Bezos
4%
Sam Altman
4%
Satya Nadella
3%
Mark Zuckerberg
3%
Bill Gates

This means

  • Donating at least six figures for a Trump PAC

  • An explicit declaration

I might bet.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Ready to resolve ALL to NO.

This means

  • Donating at least six figures for a Trump PAC

  • An explicit declaration

do both these things need to happen or just one?

Just one!

The donation criteria is a bit weird. Suppose someone donates USD 1 million to a Trump PAC and USD 10 million to a Biden PAC. Under the current criteria they will be assumed to have declared support for Trump, but that sounds ridiculous. My understanding is that both-sides donations are not uncommon, so I don't think it is outside the realm of reasonable possibilities

Yeah, most groups who want to influence politics but don't have an overtly political agenda themselves will donate to all sides (though as in your hypo, typically more to one side than the other).

Makes sense. But it's not typical of any of the people on the list. Either they donate large sums to Dems, or they donate 4 or 3 figures to Rs. And most of them never donated more than 4 figures for a Republican.

reposted

Which techies will defect next?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules