Will a scandal erupt around Donald Trump before the 2024 election that costs him >.5% of his support base?
Jan 22

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
predicts NO

I suppose the only possible measurement would have to be based on polling aggregates. His “base” would be considered respondents who have consistently supported him no matter the poll or topic, up until the time of the scandal. At any rate, the Trump “unshakeable” base is quite well established, and any crack in it should be noticeable if not precisely measurable.

How will this be measured?

How is his support base calculated?