Will the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing?
99
3.5kṀ41kresolved Jul 26
Resolved
NO1H
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This market will settle to YES if the June 2024 readings of Core PCE Inflation and Unemployment (defined by the BLS) read as the following:
PCE Inflation excluding Food and Energy is below 2% YoY
Unemployment is below 5.5% (2% above the recent low of 3.5%)
This market will also resolve to NO if at any time between Nov 2022 and June 2024 the Unemployment level reads above 5.5%.
Creator policy: I won't bet.
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