Will the hike cycle that begun in 2022 have a 50bps rate hike in 2023 or 2024?
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resolved Dec 6
Resolved
NO

This market resolves to no by Dec 31st 2024 or when the Fed either cut rates or spends 90 days not hiking.

This market resolves to YES if they hike by 50bps in a meeting. I will sum special meetings if necessary (a special meeting + a regular one with 25bps each).

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The Fed has not hiked since July 26

predicted NO

Whoops, commented in the wrong thread. Can't delete. Apologies.

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