Will OpenAI and Anthropic announce they're merging into one in 2023?
Jan 1

Self-describing. If they release a press release saying they're merging into one team, this market resolves to YES. This market resolves to NO by year end.

I may bet on this market.

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firstuserhere avatar
ersatz avatar

Journalist writing about AI for WIRED:

SemioticRivalry avatar
Semiotic Rivalrybought Ṁ35 of NO

@ersatz theinformation articles have been worth their weight in gold so far so that would be surprising

SemioticRivalry avatar
Semiotic Rivalry

this would be the good timeline (therefore it will not happen)

MP avatar

@SemioticRivalry good question, created a market

AdriaGarrigaAlonso avatar
Adrià Garriga-Alonsobought Ṁ300 of NO

https://twitter.com/var_epsilon/status/1726774102654964159 this was tried and rejected. But I guess if openai breaks down the remaining rump may join anthropic.

EricNeyman avatar
Eric Neymanbought Ṁ10 of NO
MP avatar

@EricNeyman markets with shorter resolution are more traded, in my experience. As a tip for you as a creator

EricNeyman avatar
Eric Neymansold Ṁ12 of NO

@MP Thanks for the tip! I do think that having both resolution dates is valuable (and I'm fine with my market being less traded).