Will OpenAI and Anthropic announce they're merging into one in 2023?
74
525
Ṁ8.2KṀ1.4K
Jan 1
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ420 +4105.4%
New probability
2%
Self-describing. If they release a press release saying they're merging into one team, this market resolves to YES. This market resolves to NO by year end.
I may bet on this market.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Sort by:
Semiotic Rivalrybought Ṁ35 of NO
@ersatz theinformation articles have been worth their weight in gold so far so that would be surprising
Adrià Garriga-Alonsobought Ṁ300 of NO
https://twitter.com/var_epsilon/status/1726774102654964159 this was tried and rejected. But I guess if openai breaks down the remaining rump may join anthropic.
Eric Neymanbought Ṁ10 of NO
Related (but resolves end of 2024 instead): https://manifold.markets/EricNeyman/will-openai-and-anthropic-announce
@EricNeyman markets with shorter resolution are more traded, in my experience. As a tip for you as a creator
Eric Neymansold Ṁ12 of NO
@MP Thanks for the tip! I do think that having both resolution dates is valuable (and I'm fine with my market being less traded).
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