Will Microsoft seriously attempt to complete the acquisition of Activision Blizzard without the United Kingdom approval?
Basic
25
Ṁ17k
resolved Oct 14
Resolved
NO

If by the end of December 2023, the specialized press (Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Economist...) reports that Microsoft has seriously attempted to close the proposed acquisition of Activision Blizzard King without the consent of the United Kingdom, this market will resolve to YES.

A failed attempt will count to YES. A mere contemplation of the idea doesn't count.

Background: On June 12th 2023, the U.S Federal Trade Comission has sued Microsoft to stop the acquisition of Activision Blizzard King. The FTC cites that Microsoft is contemplating closing without the approval of the Kingdom.

I won't bet on this market. I plan to hold a high standard of what means to attempt, but I'll rely on the wording of the specialized financial press to adjudicate.

I'll resolve this market to NO if Microsoft closes ABK with the consent of the UK. This includes situations where 10, Downey Street overtunes the CMA decision.

I have another Activision Blizzard market open.

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@MP curious disconect from here and there

When one multinational company based in the US buys another multinational company based in the US, do they need unanimous approval of all 176 countries they sell product in? That seems insane

@JonathanRay Only the domicile country(s) should have any say

https://www.ft.com/content/1855b5a1-e4bc-4685-ae2d-0c32520da94b


This is Brussels, but the EU is fining Illumina 10% of their worldwide revenues for closing Grail without the EU approval. Perhaps this acts to spook Microsoft?

I feel like it's probably just a bluff, and it always was. But it's not being reported as a bluff because taking it at face value is more interesting. So I don't think it's a serious thing, but it might be reported on as a serious thing. So I might end up losing this bet.

Buying yes since I believe they will continue attempt and adjusting the deal as necessary

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