If by the end of December 2023, the specialized press (Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Economist...) reports that Microsoft has seriously attempted to close the proposed acquisition of Activision Blizzard King without the consent of the United Kingdom, this market will resolve to YES.
A failed attempt will count to YES. A mere contemplation of the idea doesn't count.
Background: On June 12th 2023, the U.S Federal Trade Comission has sued Microsoft to stop the acquisition of Activision Blizzard King. The FTC cites that Microsoft is contemplating closing without the approval of the Kingdom.
I won't bet on this market. I plan to hold a high standard of what means to attempt, but I'll rely on the wording of the specialized financial press to adjudicate.
I'll resolve this market to NO if Microsoft closes ABK with the consent of the UK. This includes situations where 10, Downey Street overtunes the CMA decision.
I have another Activision Blizzard market open.
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https://www.ft.com/content/1855b5a1-e4bc-4685-ae2d-0c32520da94b
This is Brussels, but the EU is fining Illumina 10% of their worldwide revenues for closing Grail without the EU approval. Perhaps this acts to spook Microsoft?