Will a GPT-5-worthy model be able to break 50% on NYT Connections benchmark?
18
1kṀ3335
2027
92%
chance

AI Models are really bad in playing NYT connections.

If GPT-5, or a model worthy of the name, can break 50%, according to Lech Mazur, or some else trusted source by me or Gary Marcus, this market resolves to YES.

If a model is considered GPT-6 worthy, or is GPT-6 itself, it won't count.

Obviously, this is nuanced, and therefore I won't bet.

This market resolves to NO on Dec 31st 2026.

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