Will Lukashenko lose power during 2022?
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resolved Sep 15
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Is Lukashenko going to lose power as controller of Belarus? Dying also will resolve this as yes. Note that both collapse of Belarus, finalizing vassalization by Russia, opposition winning all will resolve as YES. Completely losing power will cause this to resolve early, but I will wait until situation is clear (coup attempt and chaos that ends in failure does not count) Related markets: "Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023?" https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-presiden "Among current heads of state, who will be the next to die?" https://manifold.markets/Duncan/among-current-heads-of-state-who-wi "Will Putin be overthrown during 2022?" https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-putin-be-overthrown-during-202 "Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?" https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-putin-be-the-leader-of-russia "Will Putin get killed by the end of 2022?" https://manifold.markets/M/will-putin-get-killed-by-the-end-of "Will Belarus send troops to Ukraine?" https://manifold.markets/LucaPetrolati/will-belarus-send-troops-to-ukraine
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Sorry, on review of what I am doing I decided to shutdown Manifold account. Resolving my markets as NA seems the fairest solution to people active on them.

- I decided to spend my time in a better way and Manifold is one of

things that I decided to eliminate in the ongoing owerview

- Daily bonus was effective, to the point of being scary, intrusive and

unwelcome

- Inability to block and hide unwanted markets/groups makes it

obnoxious to see some markets. Every time I read title of

https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-scott-alexander-write-an-acx-b

I die a bit inside and question what I am doing with my life

I would be likely happy about it, but that seems less likely to me.
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