Will Lukashenko lose power during 2022?
45
123Ṁ2106
resolved Sep 15
Resolved
N/A
Is Lukashenko going to lose power as controller of Belarus? Dying also will resolve this as yes. Note that both collapse of Belarus, finalizing vassalization by Russia, opposition winning all will resolve as YES. Completely losing power will cause this to resolve early, but I will wait until situation is clear (coup attempt and chaos that ends in failure does not count) Related markets: "Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023?" https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-vladimir-putin-be-the-presiden "Among current heads of state, who will be the next to die?" https://manifold.markets/Duncan/among-current-heads-of-state-who-wi "Will Putin be overthrown during 2022?" https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-putin-be-overthrown-during-202 "Will Putin be the leader of Russia during the entire 2022?" https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-putin-be-the-leader-of-russia "Will Putin get killed by the end of 2022?" https://manifold.markets/M/will-putin-get-killed-by-the-end-of "Will Belarus send troops to Ukraine?" https://manifold.markets/LucaPetrolati/will-belarus-send-troops-to-ukraine
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