What will be the order of preference when calculating yes - no votes proportionally (%): End AI, Porn, or Social Media?
16
575Ṁ1057resolved Nov 3
100%0.9%
End AI > End Porn > End Social Media
3%
End AI > End Social Media > End Porn
89%
End Social Media > End AI > End Porn
4%
End Social Media > End Porn > End AI
0.8%
End Porn > End AI > End Social Media
1.7%
End Porn > End Social Media > End AI
0.4%Other
This market resolves based on the results of the polls below.
After market close, I will resolve this market based on the percentage that results by subtracting "no" votes from “yes” votes that each option has received, in the order of "highest % > medium % > least %". “Maybe” votes will be added in order to calculate the percentage. I’ll ignore “see results” votes. Example: yes=3, maybe=1, no=6 — 3-6=-3; 3+1+6=10 (universe of votes) — -3/10 = -0,3 = -30%
These polls close on Saturday the 13th at noon PT. This market will close around that time.
If there is a tie, the polls will be extended for 24 hours.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ8 | |
2 | Ṁ2 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If polled in 2025, will the majority of Manifold users say this site has become their primary social media platform?
9% chance
Will AI-generated pornographic video become mainstream by 2026?
63% chance
What will the results of this poll be in 2028? Has AI been overregulated?
Will AI write 75%+ of social media view-generating posts (default to Twitter) by EOY 2026?
8% chance
By 2026, will there be a publicly reported instance of a AI social media algorithm displaying power-seeking behaviors?
9% chance
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
65% chance
By 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
11% chance
The % of people who will think top AI firms are racing in 2026 (Resolves to Yes/Probably on poll)
62% chance
Will bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?
63% chance
By end of 2028, will PornHub have a category for AI-generated porn?
72% chance