What Event Will Happen First: Trump Elected, Harris Elected, JD Vance or Walz Replaced As VP, "January 6th" Type Event
53
10kṀ80k
resolved Jan 20
100%99.0%
Trump Elected & Inaugurated
0.5%
Harris Elected & Inaugurated
0.2%
JD Vance Replaced As VP
0.1%
Walz Replaced As VP
0.2%
"January 6th" Type Event (Trump Bias-See Pinned Comment)
What Event Will Happen First: 
1. Trump Elected & Inaugurated 
2. Harris Elected & Inaugurated 
3. JD Vance Replaced As VP
4. Walz Replaced As VP
5. "January 6th" Type Event (Trump Bias-See Pinned Comment)
This market only resolves 1 answer
Resolves YES To The Event That Occurs First
  • "January 6th" Type Event.

    • For this, it must be meet these 3 conditions

      • Caused by

        • False claims of 2024 presidential election fraud by Donald Trump and his allies

        • Denial of the 2024 U.S. presidential election results

        • Disrupt and delay the Electoral College vote count

  • To Meet Elected:

    • Harris must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

    • Trump must be voted by eligible US Voters and inaugurated.

  • To Meet Replaced As VP"

    • JD Vance must be replaced on not on the voting ballot as VP.

      • Also counts if JD Vance is promoted to Presidential Nominee for ANY Reason and appears on voting ballot as such.

    • Walz must be replaced on not on the voting ballot as VP.

      • Also counts if Walz is promoted to Presidential Nominee for ANY Reason and appears on voting ballot as such.

    MARKET EXTENDS UNTIL CONDITIONS MET

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