๐Ÿš€ Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
๐Ÿš€ Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
21
1kแน€11k
resolved Dec 29
Resolved
YES
32
Mar 31
44
Apr 30
58
May 30
69
Jun 30
74
Jul 31
NASA delays next SpaceX crew launch due to ongoing Starliner problems SpaceX's capsule has nowhere to dock.
Aug 8
86
Sep 1
95
Sep 30
107
Oct 31
124
Nov 30

Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful launches in 2024?

  • Resolves To All Successful Launches Of All Variants Of Launch Vehicles On The Official Flight Manifest Page.

  • SPACEX PAST FLIGHTS MANIFEST

  • Launches Must Occur During The Beginning of January 1st 2024 12am ET (5am UTC) - December 31st 11:59pm ET (4:59 am UTC)

  • LAUNCH COUNT

    • January: 10

    • February: 9

    • March: 13

    • April: 12

    • May: 14

    • June: 11

    • July: 5

    • August: 12

    • September: 9

    • October: 12

    • November: 17

    • December: TBD

    • TOTAL: 124


NOTES:

CLARIFICATIONS:

  • 3/19/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.


DISCLAIMER

  • I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE

  • DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.

  • If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.

100 Goal Market

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€260
2แน€143
3แน€88
4แน€81
5แน€44


Sort by:
bought แน€2,493 YES5mo

135 reached

reposted 6mo

@ 132 Currently w. 133rd possibly around Midnight ET.

6mo

Still at 132

reposted

September: 9

  • TOTAL: 95

I can only see 11 for June.

(In UTC time it is 12 but first is before 05:00 UTC and has been counted towards 14 in May.)

reposted 9mo


@traders
August - 12 Launches

reposted 10mo
10mo

@traders
July - 5 Launches

75 Total So Far

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEightโ€™s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
แน€Why use play money?
Mana (แน€) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with แน€1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy