Will there be a vaccine for the common cold before 2035? | Manifold

Will there be a vaccine for the common cold before 2035?

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resolved Jan 20

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YES

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The common cold can be caused by a variety of viruses.

This question resolves positive if the FDA or the EMA approve a vaccine targeting at least one virus that's commonly understood to cause the common cold.

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The FDA approved vaccines for RSV in May 2023. https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-respiratory-syncytial-virus-rsv-vaccine
Wikipedia refers to RSV as "causing common colds in adults" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Respiratory_syncytial_virus

predicted YES

@lexande The influenzavirus and coronavirus can also cause common colds, so this was already resolved in the 1930s by that logic.

I might be interested in subsidizing this market if you can provide some more background on the efforts to create/approve such a vaccine, and a list of qualifying viruses.

See https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9749450/

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