Will China's total datacenter power capacity surpass the US before 2031?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ1512030
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question: Will China's installed datacenter power capacity exceed that of the United States at any point before January 1, 2031, as measured by Rystad Energy?
Source: Rystad Energy installed-capacity series for both countries (single source, same methodology). Resolves YES on the first Rystad publication showing China ≥ US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?
45% chance
Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
38% chance
Electricity generation per capita: Will China overtake the US by end of 2035?
50% chance
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
65% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
54% chance
Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
17% chance
Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
32% chance
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
52% chance
Will China overtake the US in frontier AI by EOY 2030?
32% chance
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
65% chance