Will China's total datacenter power capacity surpass the US before 2031?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ2992030
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Question: Will China's installed datacenter power capacity exceed that of the United States at any point before January 1, 2031, as measured by Rystad Energy?
Source: Rystad Energy installed-capacity series for both countries (single source, same methodology). Resolves YES on the first Rystad publication showing China ≥ US.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?
18% chance
Will U.S. data center electricity consumption exceed 10% of total U.S. power demand by end of 2030?
50% chance
Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
38% chance
Electricity generation per capita: Will China overtake the US by end of 2035?
50% chance
How much data center capacity will the US have at the end of 2027?
85.1
Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028?
65% chance
Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
32% chance
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
54% chance
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
52% chance
Will China overtake the US in frontier AI by EOY 2030?
32% chance