Will Alex resolve this market fairly?
https://manifold.markets/a_l_e_x/what-happened-in-poland-on-9-and-10?r=TG9yZWxhaQ
His comments suggest he is deliberately spreading disinformation about the motivation for Russia's drone attack on Poland and is pretending this was anything other than an intentional incursion.
The attack involved 19 weapons. Shahed drones are kamikaze weapons.
Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Not a poll; resolution is at the creator's discretion.
Resolves based on whether Alex's market resolution explicitly acknowledges that Russia intentionally sent 19 weapons into Poland.
Ignore Russian statements of intent when judging this.
If Alex's resolution meets the above, resolve YES; otherwise NO.
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Poland's Foreign Minister: Russia's drones "did not veer off course but were deliberately targeted".
Poland's Foreign Minister: Russia's drones "did not veer off course but were deliberately targeted".
Hey, I will just chime in and say you were being pretty aggressive on his market, and I don't think he was unreasonable to block you. Remember to be excellent to each other. Here are our guidelines: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Community-Guidelines-2b986d33f0c646478d4921667c272f21
When Russia is committing acts of war against NATO members, expecting people to be polite to people making excuses for Russia, when 19 drones - weapons - were sent into a NATO member, destroying civilian property in the process ... you need to examine your priorities and policies against people using the platform to spread disinformation.
The Alex method involves blocking people who call out his obvious Russian propaganda so I will follow suit and block anyone who posts Russian propaganda in this comment section
@CollinMatthews it resolves to whether he accurately resolves it, to explicitly acknowledge that Russia intentionally sent 19 weapons into Poland, without taking into account any of Russia's statements of intent which have been proven unreliable countless times.
@Lorelai So if this resolves to one of the two options where Russia intentionally violated Poland's airspace, this resolves YES, regardless of which of those options it resolves to? I'm unsure what you believe the market should resolve to and why you believe Alex is biased here
I've since been blocked from this market, so I can only assume this constitutes Russian disinformation. In the future, I will refrain from asking which way the market will resolve to avoid supporting the Russian invasion, and I apologize to any Ukrainians my messages may have harmed
@CollinMatthews he's allowing for the possibility that this was not an act of aggression or war, despite the fact that Russia deliberately sent 19 drones, kamikaze drones that are essentially missiles, into Poland. Defining it as anything other than this, e.g. pretending it is an accident, is preposterous.