Will Olivia return to Manifold before February 2024?
Basic
4
Ṁ1542resolved Apr 18
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Olivia was a very prolific Manifold user for a long time, but she abruptly stopped being active in November of 2022. Resolves YES if there's any activity on her account before close.
(I'll also count activity on her bot account unless I find out someone else also has access to it.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ126 | |
2 | Ṁ5 | |
3 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
Her github activity also dropped off sharply in November (most of it was related to Manifold), but there was one contribution to a non-Manifold repo in January.
@IsaacKing not a boredom thing, much more a stress thing. Between job hunting, prepping to move, and the family drama that so-often comes with being trans, I haven't had the energy to work on this.
Related questions
Related questions
Will James or Austin return to Manifold before 2026?
23% chance
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
34% chance
Will SG leave Manifold before 2026?
30% chance
Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)
31% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2025?
26% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
69% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?
65% chance
Will evergreen ever return to Manifold?
55% chance
Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?
52% chance
Will Austin return to working for Manifold before the end of 2025?
20% chance